Brusque vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
43.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.3%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 1
BRU
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
BRU
1 - 1
GRE
14%
26%
60%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
CRB
1 - 1
BRU
46%
28%
27%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 0
BRU
32%
28%
39%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
BRU
2 - 0
OPE
41%
30%
30%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
CRZ
1 - 0
BAH
41%
28%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
CSA
1 - 1
CRZ
39%
28%
33%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
CRZ
2 - 1
NOV
64%
23%
13%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
CRZ
0 - 3
FLU
18%
27%
55%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 0
CRZ
28%
29%
43%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |