Brusque vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
61.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
BRU
1 - 0
CAM
59%
24%
17%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
MET
2 - 2
BRU
35%
26%
39%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
BRU
0 - 0
CRI
24%
26%
50%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
FFL
2 - 1
BRU
71%
19%
10%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
BRU
2 - 0
CAM
58%
25%
18%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
AVA
1 - 2
CHA
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 1
GUA
77%
16%
6%
|
77 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
CAM
0 - 1
CHA
12%
21%
67%
|
77 | 46 | 31 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 1
INT
80%
15%
6%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ATM
3 - 0
CHA
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |