Q. Europa League Third Round Final
Global 4-4
Brøndby IF vs SV Ried analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brøndby IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
BIF
1 - 4
ACH
60%
23%
17%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
RIE
2 - 0
BIF
36%
26%
39%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
SIF
0 - 1
BIF
34%
25%
40%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
BIF
0 - 3
AJA
27%
24%
49%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
BIF
2 - 2
AAB
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SV Ried
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
RAP
0 - 0
RIE
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
RIE
2 - 0
BIF
36%
26%
39%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
AUS
2 - 1
RIE
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
RIE
1 - 1
STR
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
RIE
0 - 1
CLU
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |