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Danish Superliga. Ronda Campeonato, Matchday 3

Brøndby IF vs AGF Aarhus analysis

Brøndby IF AGF Aarhus
55 ELO 54
15% Tilt 3%
583º General ELO ranking 929º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
53.7%
Brøndby IF
23.9%
Draw
22.5%
AGF Aarhus

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
Brøndby IF
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.5%
Win probability
AGF Aarhus
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Basic stats

69
31
POS
14
12
SOT
7
4
COR
2
2
GF
2
2
GC
8
10
FRK
55
54
ELO
1.7
1
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Brøndby IF
Their league position
AGF Aarhus
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
48
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Brøndby IF
61
61
100%
Midtjylland
60
60
100%
Kobenhavn
55
55
100%
AGF Aarhus
48
48
100%
Nordsjaelland
43
43
100%
Randers
40
40
100%
Expected probabilities
Brøndby IF
AGF Aarhus
Champion
100% 0%
UCL qualifying
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Europa League qualifying
0% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%

ELO progression

AGF Aarhus
AGF
Brøndby IF
BIF
Nordsjaelland
FCN
Randers
RAN
Midtjylland
MID
Kobenhavn
FCK
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Brøndby IF
Brøndby IF
1%
X%
2%
ELO BIF ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Apr. 2021
BIF
Brøndby IF
1 - 3
Kobenhavn
FCK
42%
28%
30%
1173 1309 -136 -7
05 Apr. 2021
MID
Midtjylland
1 - 0
Brøndby IF
BIF
55%
24%
21%
1177 1492 315 -4
25 Mar. 2021
FCN
Nordsjaelland
1 - 5
Brøndby IF
BIF
46%
27%
27%
1236 1112 -124 +45
21 Mar. 2021
BIF
Brøndby IF
1 - 1
AGF Aarhus
AGF
47%
27%
26%
1237 1217 20 0
14 Mar. 2021
ODE
Odense BK
0 - 3
Brøndby IF
BIF
41%
28%
31%
1229 1033 -196 +8

Matches

AGF Aarhus
AGF Aarhus
1%
X%
2%
ELO AGF ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Apr. 2021
RAN
Randers
1 - 1
AGF Aarhus
AGF
40%
28%
32%
1097 840 -257 +1
11 Apr. 2021
AGF
AGF Aarhus
1 - 4
Midtjylland
MID
37%
28%
35%
1102 1499 -397 -7
08 Apr. 2021
AGF
AGF Aarhus
0 - 2
Randers
RAN
55%
25%
20%
1111 832 279 -8
04 Apr. 2021
FCN
Nordsjaelland
2 - 0
AGF Aarhus
AGF
42%
28%
30%
1118 979 -139 -8
21 Mar. 2021
BIF
Brøndby IF
1 - 1
AGF Aarhus
AGF
47%
27%
26%
1217 1237 20 0