Brixham AFC vs Barnstaple Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
55%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brixham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
BUC
0 - 0
BFC
62%
19%
20%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
NAT
2 - 1
BFC
31%
22%
47%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
BFC
6 - 0
STB
63%
19%
18%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
BFC
3 - 0
ILF
56%
20%
24%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
HEA
2 - 0
BFC
75%
14%
11%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Barnstaple Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
BAR
3 - 3
HEA
53%
20%
27%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BAR
4 - 0
NAT
82%
11%
7%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
ILF
2 - 5
BAR
16%
18%
66%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 1
CLE
56%
20%
24%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
STR
0 - 4
BAR
10%
16%
74%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | +1 |