FAW Championship Sur. Jor. 18

Briton Ferry vs Baglan Dragons analysis

Briton Ferry Baglan Dragons
52 ELO 20
9% Tilt 18.1%
3378º General ELO ranking 9458º
20º Country ELO ranking 47º
ELO win probability
82.5%
Briton Ferry
11.8%
Draw
5.7%
Baglan Dragons

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
Briton Ferry
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.8%
5.7%
Win probability
Baglan Dragons
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Briton Ferry
+9%
+109%
Baglan Dragons

ELO progression

Briton Ferry
Baglan Dragons
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Briton Ferry
Briton Ferry
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Dec. 2023
BDG
Baglan Dragons
1 - 2
Briton Ferry
BRI
10%
16%
74%
52 20 32 0
15 Dec. 2023
BRI
Briton Ferry
3 - 2
Cwmbran Celtic
CWM
78%
14%
8%
51 36 15 +1
08 Dec. 2023
BRI
Briton Ferry
1 - 0
Llanelli Town AFC
LLA
47%
22%
32%
51 48 3 0
17 Nov. 2023
BRI
Briton Ferry
5 - 0
Llantwit Major
LLA
80%
13%
7%
50 35 15 +1
11 Nov. 2023
AIR
Airbus UK
1 - 2
Briton Ferry
BRI
34%
21%
45%
49 45 4 +1

Matches

Baglan Dragons
Baglan Dragons
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Dec. 2023
BDG
Baglan Dragons
1 - 2
Briton Ferry
BRI
10%
16%
74%
20 52 32 0
15 Dec. 2023
GOY
Goytre United
3 - 2
Baglan Dragons
BDG
78%
13%
9%
20 33 13 0
08 Dec. 2023
AAF
Ammanford AFC
2 - 2
Baglan Dragons
BDG
80%
12%
8%
20 37 17 0
25 Nov. 2023
BDG
Baglan Dragons
4 - 1
Trefelin
TRE
19%
19%
63%
17 27 10 +3
17 Nov. 2023
CAM
Cambrian & Clydach
2 - 0
Baglan Dragons
BDG
87%
9%
5%
17 38 21 0
X