Campeonato de Portugal Grupo A. Jor. 11

Brito SC vs Maria da Fonte analysis

Brito SC Maria da Fonte
22 ELO 23
-8.6% Tilt -3.2%
7368º General ELO ranking 19784º
155º Country ELO ranking 298º
ELO win probability
33.6%
Brito SC
23.6%
Draw
42.9%
Maria da Fonte

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
Brito SC
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
42.8%
Win probability
Maria da Fonte
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Brito SC
+35%
+10%
Maria da Fonte

Points and table prediction

Brito SC
Their league position
Maria da Fonte
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
13º
25
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Amarante
51
51
57.5%
Vianense
50
51
57.5%
Pevidém
43
46
89%
Tirsense
44
44
89%
Vila Meã
39
39
100%
Vilar de Perdizes
35
36
82%
Brito SC
35
35
82%
Dumiense FC
31
34
68%
Merelinense
30
33
68%
Pedras Salgadas
10º
29
30
10º
76%
AR São Martinho
13º
24
27
11º
14%
Monção
11º
26
27
12º
17%
Maria da Fonte
12º
25
25
13º
49%
Braganca
14º
18
18
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Brito SC
Maria da Fonte
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
100% 51%
Mid-table
0% 49%

ELO progression

Brito SC
Maria da Fonte
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Brito SC
Brito SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Dec. 2022
BRI
Brito SC
2 - 0
Monção
MON
34%
22%
44%
19 21 2 0
27 Nov. 2022
SMA
AR São Martinho
3 - 1
Brito SC
BRI
82%
12%
6%
19 37 18 0
20 Nov. 2022
BRI
Brito SC
0 - 2
Vila Meã
VIL
23%
22%
55%
20 30 10 -1
13 Nov. 2022
VIA
Vianense
1 - 0
Brito SC
BRI
67%
19%
14%
20 32 12 0
06 Nov. 2022
BRI
Brito SC
1 - 0
Tirsense
TIR
14%
21%
65%
17 36 19 +3

Matches

Maria da Fonte
Maria da Fonte
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Dec. 2022
MAR
Maria da Fonte
0 - 3
AR São Martinho
SMA
25%
24%
51%
26 37 11 0
27 Nov. 2022
VIL
Vila Meã
4 - 0
Maria da Fonte
MAR
59%
20%
21%
27 30 3 -1
20 Nov. 2022
MAR
Maria da Fonte
2 - 3
Vianense
VIA
37%
25%
38%
28 32 4 -1
13 Nov. 2022
TIR
Tirsense
2 - 0
Maria da Fonte
MAR
60%
22%
18%
29 35 6 -1
06 Nov. 2022
MAR
Maria da Fonte
1 - 0
Vilar de Perdizes
VPE
78%
14%
8%
28 16 12 +1
X