Bristol City vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
GIL
2 - 4
BRI
23%
23%
54%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
DON
1 - 1
BRI
29%
25%
46%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
GIL
1 - 3
BRI
27%
26%
47%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
BRI
2 - 1
YEO
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
CRE
1 - 0
BRI
17%
24%
59%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 0
NOT
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
NOT
0 - 1
MKD
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
ROC
2 - 2
NOT
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2014 |
NOT
0 - 1
PNE
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
NOT
0 - 3
SWI
45%
26%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -2 |