Bristol City vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.3%
Win probability
0.3
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.4%
1-0
2%
2-1
0.7%
3-2
0.1%
+1
2.8%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.4%
84.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
19.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
24.4%
0-3
15.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.2%
-3
18.5%
0-4
9.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
10.8%
0-5
4.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.2%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 0
HUL
51%
25%
23%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
SUN
1 - 1
BRI
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 1
WIG
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 0
NOR
36%
26%
38%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
PNE
1 - 2
BRI
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BOU
1 - 4
MAC
7%
17%
75%
|
96 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
RBL
1 - 1
MAC
17%
22%
61%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
NTT
1 - 1
MAC
6%
16%
78%
|
97 | 81 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
ARS
1 - 3
MAC
26%
24%
50%
|
97 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MAC
3 - 1
ASV
87%
10%
4%
|
97 | 85 | 12 | 0 |