FA Cup . 1/64
Global 1-2
Bristol City vs Barnsley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
BPO
1 - 0
BRI
36%
26%
39%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
BRI
2 - 1
BAR
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
BHA
1 - 4
BRI
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
BRA
2 - 5
BRI
35%
24%
41%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
BRI
1 - 1
LUT
48%
24%
28%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
BAR
3 - 3
STO
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
BRI
2 - 1
BAR
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
BAR
2 - 0
TRA
42%
26%
33%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
YOR
1 - 2
BAR
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
BRE
2 - 1
BAR
42%
25%
32%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |