Bristol City vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
44.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
STO
0 - 2
BRI
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
BRI
4 - 0
NOR
55%
22%
23%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
BRI
2 - 1
COV
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
BRI
2 - 0
EXE
63%
20%
17%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2020 |
BRI
4 - 0
CHE
61%
21%
18%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
ASV
1 - 0
SHE
44%
26%
31%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2020 |
BUR
1 - 3
ASV
16%
22%
62%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
ASV
1 - 0
MUD
19%
24%
57%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
ARS
2 - 3
ASV
80%
14%
7%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
WHU
1 - 1
ASV
63%
21%
17%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |