Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
27.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
WES
2 - 1
BRI
43%
27%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
NEW
1 - 1
BRI
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
BRI
1 - 1
MCI
51%
25%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
BRI
1 - 0
PER
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
SYD
0 - 0
BRI
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
WPH
2 - 0
MEL
34%
25%
42%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2015 |
SYD
0 - 0
WPH
53%
24%
24%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
WES
2 - 1
WPH
44%
27%
30%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
WPH
4 - 2
ADE
45%
26%
30%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
CCM
1 - 1
WPH
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |