Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 0
BRI
53%
24%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
NEW
0 - 4
BRI
41%
26%
32%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
BRI
1 - 3
MCI
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
BRI
0 - 2
SYD
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
PER
3 - 2
BRI
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
PER
2 - 1
WPH
57%
23%
21%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
PER
2 - 1
WES
54%
23%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2014 |
BEN
0 - 3
PER
7%
17%
76%
|
73 | 36 | 37 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CCM
0 - 1
PER
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
PER
2 - 1
NEW
52%
24%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |