Brisbane Roar vs NZ Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1988 |
FOO
2 - 0
BRI
52%
27%
21%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1988 |
BRI
1 - 3
ADE
49%
25%
27%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 1988 |
PLI
3 - 0
BRI
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 1988 |
BRI
2 - 3
SOU
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 1988 |
STG
3 - 2
BRI
65%
21%
15%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
NZ Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
NZK
4 - 3
BRI
34%
25%
41%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2004 |
SFC
1 - 0
NZK
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
NZK
2 - 0
SOU
24%
25%
51%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | +2 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
MAR
2 - 1
NZK
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
NZK
2 - 4
SYD
30%
26%
44%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |