Brisbane Roar vs Adelaide United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
46%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 2
BRI
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 3
BRI
46%
25%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
BRI
0 - 1
MCI
22%
23%
55%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
BRI
0 - 2
WUF
41%
24%
35%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 7
BRI
10%
16%
74%
|
65 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
ADE
1 - 0
MEL
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
PER
5 - 3
ADE
35%
26%
40%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
ADE
2 - 0
MCI
37%
24%
39%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
WUF
0 - 0
ADE
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2020 |
MCI
2 - 2
ADE
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |