Brisbane Knights vs The Lakes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.1%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
77.7%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.7%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.4%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
BRK
1 - 3
GAP
39%
22%
40%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
TOO
2 - 1
BRK
88%
8%
4%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
BRK
1 - 3
MGH
22%
20%
58%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
GEO
4 - 0
BRK
90%
7%
3%
|
15 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
UNI
3 - 1
BRK
61%
19%
20%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
The Lakes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
MGH
0 - 3
TLA
20%
20%
60%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
TLA
1 - 1
STO
83%
11%
6%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
GAP
1 - 0
TLA
8%
13%
79%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
TLA
2 - 2
ALB
22%
21%
58%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
TLA
5 - 2
TOO
62%
18%
20%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |