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Brisbane. Matchday 19

Brisbane Knights vs Mount Gravatt Hawks SC analysis

Brisbane Knights Mount Gravatt Hawks SC
5 ELO 18
71% Tilt 65%
11968º General ELO ranking 7244º
176º Country ELO ranking 72º
ELO win probability
48.2%
Brisbane Knights
20.2%
Draw
31.6%
Mount Gravatt Hawks SC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
Brisbane Knights
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.2%
31.6%
Win probability
Mount Gravatt Hawks SC
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Brisbane Knights
+33%
+40%
Mount Gravatt Hawks SC

Points and table prediction

Brisbane Knights
Their league position
Mount Gravatt Hawks SC
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
11º
11º
28
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Albany Creek
54
59
100%
Bayside United
43
45
100%
The Lakes
39
41
100%
St George Willawong
35
38
99%
Toowong
32
34
100%
Acacia Ridge
30
32
96%
Mount Gravatt Hawks SC
28
30
79%
Centenary Stormers
23
24
78%
Univ. Queensland
22
23
83%
Western Spirit
10º
15
19
10º
40%
Brisbane Knights
11º
14
17
11º
53%
The Gap
12º
12
13
12º
81%
Expected probabilities
Brisbane Knights
Mount Gravatt Hawks SC
Champion
0% 0%
Final season
0% 0%
Mid-table
34% 100%
Relegation
66% 0%

ELO progression

Mount Gravatt Hawks SC
MGH
Brisbane Knights
BRK
Toowong
TOO
The Lakes
TLA
Centenary Stormers
STO
St George Willawong
GEO
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Brisbane Knights
Brisbane Knights
1%
X%
2%
ELO BRK ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Sep. 2021
GEO
St George Willawong
4 - 0
Brisbane Knights
BRK
46%
27%
27%
93 99 6 0
16 Jul. 2021
BRK
Brisbane Knights
2 - 3
Centenary Stormers
STO
46%
27%
27%
94 89 5 0
11 Jul. 2021
BAY
Bayside United
1 - 0
Brisbane Knights
BRK
46%
27%
27%
94 87 -7 0
27 Jun. 2021
ACA
Acacia Ridge
1 - 3
Brisbane Knights
BRK
46%
27%
27%
94 77 -17 0
18 Jun. 2021
WES
Western Spirit
4 - 4
Brisbane Knights
BRK
47%
27%
26%
94 189 95 0

Matches

Mount Gravatt Hawks SC
Mount Gravatt Hawks SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO MGH ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jul. 2021
STO
Centenary Stormers
2 - 1
Mount Gravatt Hawks SC
MGH
42%
27%
31%
249 89 -160 0
27 Jul. 2021
MGH
Mount Gravatt Hawks SC
2 - 2
Univ. Queensland
UNI
53%
25%
22%
250 34 216 0
24 Jul. 2021
GAP
The Gap
2 - 1
Mount Gravatt Hawks SC
MGH
39%
28%
34%
249 67 -182 0
18 Jul. 2021
MGH
Mount Gravatt Hawks SC
2 - 2
The Gap
GAP
51%
26%
23%
249 67 182 0
10 Jul. 2021
WES
Western Spirit
4 - 2
Mount Gravatt Hawks SC
MGH
41%
28%
31%
250 189 -61 0