Brisbane City vs Moreton City Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
66%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
OLY
3 - 1
BRI
54%
23%
24%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BRI
0 - 0
ROC
51%
21%
28%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 0
BRI
75%
16%
10%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 2
WES
5%
11%
84%
|
36 | 70 | 34 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 2
GCK
11%
19%
71%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Moreton City Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
MOR
1 - 3
PEN
45%
22%
33%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 4
MEL
13%
17%
69%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 1
QUE
49%
23%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MOR
4 - 3
PEN
47%
23%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
MOR
3 - 2
PER
18%
19%
63%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |