Brisbane City vs Gold Coast Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
66.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
BRI
2 - 4
EAS
77%
14%
9%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
BRI
1 - 3
MOR
14%
20%
66%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
OLY
3 - 1
BRI
54%
23%
24%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BRI
0 - 0
ROC
51%
21%
28%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 0
BRI
75%
16%
10%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Gold Coast Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
WYN
0 - 2
GCK
21%
23%
56%
|
59 | 31 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
GCK
3 - 1
QUE
46%
24%
30%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
GCK
0 - 1
QUE
52%
23%
25%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
GCK
5 - 0
QUE
46%
24%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
RED
0 - 1
GCK
8%
17%
76%
|
56 | 28 | 28 | +1 |