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Premier League. Matchday 37

Brighton & Hove Albion Man. City
71 ELO 98
-14% Tilt 18%
212º General ELO ranking
17º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
11.4%
Brighton & Hove Albion
17.3%
Draw
71.3%
Man. City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
Brighton & Hove Albion
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
71.3%
Win probability
Man. City
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Brighton & Hove Albion
+4%
-4%
Man. City

Points and table prediction

Brighton & Hove Albion
Their league position
Man. City
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
11º
17º
15º
71
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Man. City
71
84
97%
Man. Utd
63
78
93%
Leicester
56
68
27%
West Ham
55
66
20%
Chelsea
54
66
21%
Liverpool
52
66
24%
Everton
48
57
19%
Tottenham Hotspur
46
58
35%
Arsenal
45
58
15%
Leeds United
10º
45
55
10º
20%
Aston Villa
11º
44
54
11º
18%
Wolves
12º
38
45
12º
24%
Crystal Palace
13º
38
45
14º
17%
Southampton
14º
36
45
13º
17%
Brighton & Hove Albion
15º
33
40
15º
18%
Burnley
16º
33
40
16º
19%
Newcastle
17º
32
38
17º
27%
Fulham
18º
26
30
18º
52%
West Bromwich Albion
19º
24
29
19º
51%
Sheffield United
20º
14
18
20º
99%
Expected probabilities
Brighton & Hove Albion
Man. City
Champion
0% 97%
Champions League
0% 3%
Europa League
0% 0%
Mid-table
89% 0%
Relegation
11% 0%

ELO progression

Man. City
MAC
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton & Hove Albion
1%
X%
2%
ELO BHA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Apr. 2021
BHA
Brighton & Hove Albion
0 - 0
Everton
EVE
37%
28%
35%
1969 2437 -468 +3
04 Apr. 2021
MUD
Man. Utd
2 - 1
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
79%
14%
7%
1971 3290 1319 -2
20 Mar. 2021
BHA
Brighton & Hove Albion
3 - 0
Newcastle
NEW
47%
27%
26%
1951 2012 -61 +21
14 Mar. 2021
SOU
Southampton
1 - 2
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
56%
24%
20%
1933 2369 436 +18
06 Mar. 2021
BHA
Brighton & Hove Albion
1 - 2
Leicester
LEI
33%
27%
40%
1940 2709 -769 -7

Matches

Man. City
Man. City
1%
X%
2%
ELO MAC ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Apr. 2021
BVB
B. Dortmund
1 - 2
Man. City
MAC
33%
28%
39%
3829 3064 -765 +21
10 Apr. 2021
MAC
Man. City
1 - 2
Leeds United
LEE
80%
13%
7%
3843 1938 1905 -24
06 Apr. 2021
MAC
Man. City
2 - 1
B. Dortmund
BVB
72%
18%
11%
3834 3053 781 +14
03 Apr. 2021
LEI
Leicester
0 - 2
Man. City
MAC
30%
26%
44%
3821 2749 -1072 +8
20 Mar. 2021
EVE
Everton
0 - 2
Man. City
MAC
21%
24%
55%
3815 2449 -1366 +8