Brighton & Hove Albion vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
71.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
BHA
3 - 2
IPS
37%
28%
35%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
BHA
0 - 1
BRE
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 1
BHA
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
BRE
0 - 2
BHA
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2014 |
FUL
0 - 2
BHA
66%
21%
14%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MAC
0 - 2
ARS
63%
20%
17%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ARS
3 - 0
STO
74%
17%
9%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
ARS
2 - 0
HUL
79%
15%
6%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2015 |
SOU
2 - 0
ARS
27%
24%
49%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
WHU
1 - 2
ARS
23%
24%
53%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |