FA Cup . 1/1024
Global 5-4
Brightlingsea Regent vs Egham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
30.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brightlingsea Regent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
EGH
3 - 3
BRI
37%
24%
39%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
BRI
0 - 2
TON
25%
24%
51%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
CAM
3 - 4
BRI
57%
21%
22%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
COR
1 - 1
BRI
58%
21%
21%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
BRI
1 - 1
HOR
15%
20%
65%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Egham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
EGH
3 - 3
BRI
37%
24%
39%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
EGH
1 - 1
HER
52%
21%
27%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
EGH
1 - 0
STA
19%
20%
61%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
CHA
3 - 0
EGH
65%
20%
16%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
EGH
2 - 1
WES
46%
22%
33%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |