Brightlingsea Regent vs East Thurrock United FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
18.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
11º
8º
0
7º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
20º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 82 |
1º
|
92.5% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 78 |
2º
|
46.5% | |
|
3º
|
74 | 78 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
4º
|
73 | 77 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
72 | 76 |
5º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
62 | 65 |
6º
|
53.5% | |
|
7º
|
60 | 63 |
7º
|
42.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
57 | 60 |
8º
|
49.5% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 55 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
50 | 53 |
10º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
20º
|
0 | 53 |
11º
|
3% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 52 |
12º
|
28.5% | |
|
12º
|
48 | 51 |
13º
|
34% | |
|
13º
|
47 | 50 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
45 | 48 |
15º
|
52.5% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 38 |
16º
|
69% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 36 |
17º
|
66.5% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 30 |
18º
|
89% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
19º
|
97.5% | |
|
19º
|
6 | 6 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 4.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 88% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brightlingsea Regent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
FEL
5 - 3
BRI
66%
19%
16%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
HOR
2 - 0
BRI
75%
15%
10%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BRI
3 - 0
MAL
63%
19%
17%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
AFD
2 - 3
BRI
42%
24%
34%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 3
BIL
18%
22%
60%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
East Thurrock United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
EAS
1 - 1
BRE
27%
23%
50%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
HEY
5 - 1
EAS
81%
12%
7%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
BAR
3 - 2
EAS
19%
22%
59%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
EAS
1 - 1
BAR
63%
20%
18%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
EAS
2 - 0
WRO
29%
23%
48%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +3 |