Brescia vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
23.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2006 |
RIM
2 - 0
BRE
33%
27%
40%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
BRE
0 - 2
GEN
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
BRE
1 - 1
ABN
65%
22%
14%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
VER
0 - 1
BRE
30%
27%
43%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
BRE
2 - 1
TRE
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
MOD
2 - 0
LEC
35%
28%
37%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
BOL
2 - 0
MOD
54%
25%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
MOD
2 - 0
PES
58%
25%
17%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
RIM
1 - 1
MOD
38%
28%
35%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
JUV
4 - 0
MOD
76%
17%
8%
|
71 | 91 | 20 | -1 |