Brescia vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
17.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
USA
1 - 3
BRE
16%
23%
61%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
BRE
4 - 0
VNZ
58%
22%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
BRE
5 - 1
NUO
74%
17%
10%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
TER
0 - 2
BRE
40%
25%
35%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
CRO
2 - 2
BRE
42%
24%
35%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
CRO
1 - 1
REG
57%
23%
19%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
CTT
4 - 2
CRO
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
CRO
2 - 2
COM
75%
16%
9%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
CRO
2 - 2
BRE
42%
24%
35%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
CRO
1 - 1
USV
85%
11%
4%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |