Brescia vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
AVE
0 - 1
BRE
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
BRE
3 - 0
PES
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
SIE
2 - 1
BRE
65%
22%
13%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
CTT
0 - 1
BRE
34%
28%
38%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
BRE
0 - 2
SPE
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
PAD
2 - 2
REG
49%
25%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
SPE
2 - 2
PAD
57%
24%
20%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
PAD
5 - 1
VIR
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
JUS
1 - 1
PAD
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
PAD
0 - 4
CTT
50%
26%
25%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -2 |