Brescia vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
34%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
ASC
2 - 1
BRE
31%
26%
43%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2021 |
BRE
0 - 1
ASS
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
PIS
1 - 0
BRE
32%
27%
41%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
BRE
0 - 3
VIC
69%
18%
13%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2020 |
SPA
2 - 3
BRE
45%
25%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
CTT
1 - 1
USC
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
CHI
2 - 1
CTT
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
VNZ
1 - 0
CTT
34%
28%
39%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
CTT
1 - 0
ASC
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
REG
0 - 2
CTT
14%
24%
62%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | +1 |