Brescello vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
26.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
PIS
1 - 0
BRE
63%
23%
13%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
BRE
1 - 0
REG
31%
26%
43%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
ASL
1 - 3
BRE
66%
21%
13%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
MOD
0 - 1
BRE
71%
19%
10%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
BRE
2 - 3
ACL
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
USC
2 - 1
MOD
38%
28%
34%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
ABN
0 - 2
USC
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1999 |
USC
1 - 1
COM
38%
29%
33%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
VAR
0 - 0
USC
54%
25%
21%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
USC
1 - 2
CAR
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |