League One round 23

Brentford vs Torquay United analysis

Brentford Torquay United
56 ELO 55
5.7% Tilt -13.6%
49º General ELO ranking 5120º
11º Country ELO ranking 196º
ELO win probability
56.4%
Brentford
22.9%
Draw
20.6%
Torquay United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
Brentford
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.7%
Win probability
Torquay United
1
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Brentford
+1%
+10%
Torquay United

ELO progression

Brentford
Torquay United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Brentford
Brentford
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Dec. 2004
BRE
Brentford
1 - 0
Colchester United
COL
44%
26%
31%
56 60 4 0
14 Dec. 2004
BRE
Brentford
2 - 1
Hinckley United
HIN
73%
16%
11%
56 47 9 0
11 Dec. 2004
SHW
Sheffield Wednesday
1 - 2
Brentford
BRE
54%
25%
21%
55 56 1 +1
07 Dec. 2004
BRE
Brentford
2 - 0
Luton Town
LUT
29%
24%
47%
54 65 11 +1
05 Dec. 2004
HIN
Hinckley United
0 - 0
Brentford
BRE
32%
25%
43%
54 46 8 0

Matches

Torquay United
Torquay United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Dec. 2004
CHE
Chesterfield
1 - 1
Torquay United
GUL
52%
24%
24%
54 56 2 0
11 Dec. 2004
GUL
Torquay United
0 - 1
Barnsley
BAR
48%
24%
27%
55 56 1 -1
07 Dec. 2004
BPO
Blackpool
4 - 0
Torquay United
GUL
55%
23%
22%
56 57 1 -1
27 Nov. 2004
GUL
Torquay United
1 - 3
Colchester United
COL
45%
26%
30%
57 61 4 -1
23 Nov. 2004
GUL
Torquay United
1 - 0
Wrexham AFC
WRE
50%
24%
26%
56 56 0 +1