Brentford vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
13.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2018 |
WOL
3 - 0
BRE
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
BRE
2 - 0
SHW
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
BRE
2 - 1
ASV
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2017 |
NOR
1 - 2
BRE
51%
23%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
BRE
0 - 0
BAR
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
NOT
1 - 0
POR
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
SWI
1 - 0
NOT
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 4
NOT
24%
25%
51%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
NOT
3 - 3
CAM
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
NOT
0 - 0
GRI
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |