Breitenrain vs Tuggen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
30.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Breitenrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
ETO
3 - 1
BRE
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
BRE
1 - 0
FCZ
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
SIO
1 - 1
BRE
45%
25%
31%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 0
BRE
38%
24%
38%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
BRE
1 - 0
CHA
35%
25%
40%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
TUG
2 - 3
BAS
50%
22%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 1
TUG
69%
17%
14%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
TUG
2 - 0
KRI
36%
23%
42%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
STG
3 - 1
TUG
44%
23%
33%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
TUG
1 - 3
OLD
53%
22%
25%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |