Breitenrain vs Tuggen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
43.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Breitenrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 1
BRE
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
BRE
2 - 0
ETO
37%
24%
38%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
BRE
1 - 1
SCB
46%
25%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
BRE
0 - 0
STA
40%
24%
37%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
BRE
1 - 1
YFJ
30%
26%
44%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
TUG
0 - 2
STA
62%
20%
18%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
YFJ
6 - 1
TUG
53%
22%
25%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
TUG
2 - 3
FCK
55%
23%
23%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
LEM
0 - 4
TUG
58%
22%
21%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
TUG
2 - 0
KRI
68%
18%
14%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |