Breitenrain vs Bavois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
24.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Breitenrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
BLA
1 - 2
BRE
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
BRE
1 - 1
CHA
38%
24%
38%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
YFJ
0 - 1
BRE
41%
23%
36%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
BRE
1 - 0
SCB
65%
19%
17%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
BRE
4 - 0
RAP
27%
23%
50%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Bavois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
BAV
2 - 3
FCZ
56%
21%
22%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
ETO
0 - 0
BAV
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
BAV
3 - 1
SIO
62%
21%
18%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
BAS
2 - 3
BAV
60%
21%
19%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
BAV
0 - 1
BIE
39%
24%
37%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |