Brechin City vs Forfar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
38.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brechin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
ICT
3 - 0
BRE
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2017 |
BRE
0 - 2
DUN
19%
22%
59%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
BRE
2 - 0
SPA
55%
22%
23%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
ALL
4 - 3
BRE
52%
23%
25%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
BRE
1 - 0
ALL
33%
25%
41%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2017 |
FOR
2 - 4
BLA
59%
21%
19%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
CWB
1 - 1
FOR
19%
23%
59%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
FOR
3 - 0
CLY
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
FOR
32%
25%
43%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 1
ARB
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |