Brechin City vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brechin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
AYR
2 - 0
BRE
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2011 |
BRE
1 - 0
LIV
50%
24%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
EAS
0 - 0
BRE
32%
25%
43%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
BRE
3 - 1
PET
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
BUC
0 - 2
BRE
22%
22%
56%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 1
DUM
58%
22%
19%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2011 |
DUM
3 - 0
PET
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
PET
1 - 2
DUM
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2011 |
EAS
1 - 3
DUM
62%
21%
18%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
DUM
1 - 1
AIR
43%
25%
33%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |