Brasiliense vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
47.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
BRA
3 - 0
GAM
61%
21%
19%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
BRA
3 - 1
CEI
73%
16%
10%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
PAR
1 - 0
BRA
15%
20%
65%
|
66 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
GAM
1 - 3
BRA
43%
24%
33%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2005 |
CEI
3 - 3
BRA
24%
23%
53%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
VAS
0 - 3
BAR
87%
10%
3%
|
80 | 45 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2005 |
BAR
2 - 2
VAS
9%
18%
73%
|
80 | 44 | 36 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
FLU
1 - 1
VAS
50%
23%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2005 |
OLA
1 - 2
VAS
16%
21%
63%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
VAS
2 - 2
FLA
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |