Brasiliense vs Samambaia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.8%
6.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+223%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 0
CEI
57%
22%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 0
CAP
57%
21%
23%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
PLA
0 - 3
BRA
12%
19%
70%
|
59 | 6 | 53 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
ITA
0 - 1
BRA
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 0
DOM
75%
15%
10%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Samambaia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CEI
0 - 0
SAM
30%
22%
49%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 3
CEI
13%
18%
69%
|
31 | 56 | 25 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 1
CAP
16%
20%
65%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
PLA
0 - 1
SAM
10%
14%
76%
|
31 | 7 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
SAM
3 - 0
DOM
14%
19%
67%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | +9 |