Série D Brazil Etapas Finales Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
Brasiliense vs Retro FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
25.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
RFC
1 - 0
BRA
39%
28%
33%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BRA
5 - 0
BRA
54%
25%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 4
BRA
41%
29%
30%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 2
REA
69%
20%
12%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
REA
0 - 2
BRA
31%
28%
42%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Retro FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
RFC
1 - 0
BRA
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
MEC
2 - 0
RFC
30%
28%
42%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
RFC
2 - 0
MEC
58%
25%
17%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
RFC
0 - 0
ARN
47%
28%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
ARN
1 - 1
RFC
42%
28%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |