Brasiliense vs Paranoá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
FOR
0 - 2
BRA
24%
26%
51%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
BRA
3 - 1
CAP
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
BRA
4 - 1
SED
67%
19%
14%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
DOM
0 - 1
BRA
39%
24%
38%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
LUZ
2 - 3
BRA
31%
27%
42%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Paranoá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
CEI
0 - 0
PAR
47%
22%
32%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 3
TAG
11%
17%
72%
|
25 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
FOR
4 - 2
PAR
60%
21%
19%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
PAR
0 - 5
GAM
6%
13%
81%
|
26 | 59 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
PAR
0 - 1
SOB
24%
21%
55%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |