Brasiliense vs Paracatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.7%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
5.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
SAO
1 - 0
BRA
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
BRA
1 - 1
POR
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2007 |
BRA
3 - 0
SAN
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
CEA
1 - 3
BRA
45%
26%
30%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
BRA
5 - 1
ITU
63%
22%
16%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Paracatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
PAR
4 - 1
GUA
42%
24%
34%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
CEI
0 - 1
PAR
66%
19%
15%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
PAR
0 - 3
BRA
11%
18%
71%
|
33 | 71 | 38 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
PAR
0 - 0
GAM
19%
22%
60%
|
33 | 62 | 29 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
PAR
2 - 1
PAR
57%
21%
23%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |