Brasiliense vs Luziânia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.4%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
7.4%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 0
CEI
80%
14%
6%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
BRA
3 - 0
GAM
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 0
CAP
69%
17%
13%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 4
BRA
6%
13%
81%
|
58 | 27 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 0
CEI
81%
14%
5%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Luziânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
LUZ
1 - 2
GAM
25%
25%
50%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
CEI
1 - 1
LUZ
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
SED
0 - 1
LUZ
33%
24%
43%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
LUZ
0 - 0
TAG
21%
21%
58%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
GAM
1 - 1
LUZ
72%
18%
10%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |