Copa do Brasil . 1/16
Global 0-2
Brasiliense vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
67%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 1
GOI
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 0
BRA
85%
11%
4%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
BRA
3 - 1
RDA
80%
15%
6%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2021 |
RDA
0 - 2
BRA
11%
23%
66%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
BRA
4 - 0
GAM
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 0
BRA
85%
11%
4%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
CEA
3 - 2
GRE
28%
26%
46%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2021 |
EQU
0 - 0
GRE
21%
25%
53%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
GRE
1 - 1
SCI
64%
20%
16%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
ARA
2 - 6
GRE
9%
24%
67%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | +1 |