Brasiliense vs Ceilândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
6.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
BRA
0 - 2
BRA
41%
24%
35%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
BRA
3 - 0
LUZ
78%
15%
7%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
FOR
3 - 0
BRA
47%
24%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
BRA
2 - 1
VIL
56%
23%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
BRA
2 - 2
JUV
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
BSE
1 - 1
CEI
34%
26%
40%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
CEI
1 - 0
LEG
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
CEI
1 - 2
BSE
67%
18%
14%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
PAR
0 - 1
CEI
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2008 |
CEI
1 - 0
BDF
70%
17%
13%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |