Brasiliense vs Ceilândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
5.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
DOM
1 - 2
BRA
15%
20%
65%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
BRA
2 - 1
PAR
83%
12%
6%
|
68 | 36 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
SAO
1 - 0
BRA
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
BRA
1 - 1
POR
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2007 |
BRA
3 - 0
SAN
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
GAM
2 - 2
CEI
77%
15%
9%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
CEI
1 - 1
DOM
51%
23%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
ATL
2 - 0
CEI
72%
19%
10%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2007 |
CEI
3 - 0
CEC
32%
26%
42%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +4 |
| 22 Jul. 2007 |
CEI
3 - 2
CRA
26%
25%
49%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |