Brasiliense vs Ceilândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.3%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
5.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
DOM
2 - 3
BRA
15%
20%
65%
|
70 | 43 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
BRA
3 - 3
GUA
87%
9%
3%
|
70 | 28 | 42 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
PAR
0 - 1
BRA
11%
18%
71%
|
70 | 42 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
BRA
3 - 4
PAU
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 1
BRA
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
CEI
3 - 1
GUA
73%
16%
11%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
CEI
3 - 2
DOM
47%
23%
30%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
LUZ
1 - 2
CEI
45%
24%
31%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
CEI
1 - 0
BOA
28%
25%
47%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +3 |
| 02 Aug. 2006 |
CHA
1 - 0
CEI
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -2 |