Brasiliense vs Ceilandense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
10%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
VIL
3 - 4
BRA
18%
24%
58%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CAP
0 - 1
BRA
12%
19%
70%
|
59 | 31 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
CEI
0 - 0
BRA
24%
25%
51%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 0
VIL
70%
20%
10%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 0
LUZ
70%
20%
10%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ceilandense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CEI
1 - 0
SAN
58%
21%
21%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
GAM
2 - 1
CEI
68%
20%
12%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
LEG
1 - 2
CEI
42%
24%
34%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
CEI
0 - 0
BRA
30%
24%
46%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
CEI
3 - 0
CEI
59%
22%
20%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |