Brasília vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
63%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 0
BRA
29%
26%
45%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 1
PAY
24%
24%
52%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
PAY
2 - 1
BRA
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
BRA
0 - 3
BRA
62%
23%
15%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
BRA
0 - 2
BRA
26%
25%
49%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 1
CHA
46%
28%
26%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
NAU
0 - 1
SPO
30%
25%
45%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
SPO
73%
17%
9%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 0
NAU
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 0
SAN
55%
24%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |