Brasília vs Sobradinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
24.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
LUZ
0 - 0
BRA
33%
27%
40%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
CEI
0 - 2
BRA
25%
24%
51%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
LUZ
0 - 1
BRA
36%
26%
37%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 3
LUZ
59%
24%
17%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 2
BRA
54%
24%
21%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sobradinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SOB
0 - 2
GAM
41%
23%
36%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 2
SOB
19%
22%
59%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SOB
0 - 1
FOR
67%
19%
14%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
LUZ
1 - 1
SOB
37%
26%
38%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
SOB
0 - 0
LUZ
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |