Brasiliense . Quarter-finals
Global 5-1
Brasília vs Paracatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
11.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
BRA
0 - 1
NAU
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 3
BRA
25%
25%
51%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
BRA
2 - 1
SAN
76%
17%
8%
|
51 | 26 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
BRA
2 - 1
LUV
33%
28%
39%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BRA
3 - 0
FOR
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Paracatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 3
BRA
25%
25%
51%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
BRA
2 - 1
PAR
69%
19%
12%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
PAR
3 - 1
LUZ
30%
27%
43%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +4 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 1
SAN
59%
21%
20%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 0
PAR
72%
18%
10%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | -1 |