Brasília vs Ceilândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
28%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
BDF
3 - 1
BRA
34%
25%
41%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
BRA
0 - 4
BRA
23%
23%
55%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
GAM
2 - 1
BRA
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
BRA
3 - 1
CFZ
57%
23%
21%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
CEI
1 - 1
BRA
36%
24%
40%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
CEI
0 - 5
DUQ
26%
24%
50%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
CEI
2 - 2
FOR
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
GAM
0 - 0
CEI
67%
20%
14%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
CEI
1 - 1
BRA
22%
22%
56%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
BDF
1 - 1
CEI
34%
26%
40%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |